Company: Dobbies Garden Centres

Sector: General Retailers

Address : Melville Nursery, Lasswade, EH18 1 AZ

Tel: 0131 663 1941

Fax: 0131 654 2548

Brokers: Brewin Dolphin Securities Ltd.

Advisors: Brewin Dolphin Securities Ltd.


       
INVESTMENT INFORMATION   FINANCIAL REVIEW      
Price of Ordinary Shares 355p Year to: October £’000 1996 1997 1998
High/Low 390/255p        
Number of shares in issue 6.6m Turnover 6,619 8,489 11,093
Market Capitalisation £23m Gross Profit/(Loss) 3,058 3,943 5,023
Stated earnings per share 18.3p Operating Profit/(Loss) 741 1,138 1,489
Historic P/E ratio 1900% Net Int. Receivable/(Payable) -112 -120 -62
Gross Dividend yield 1% Pre tax Profit/(Loss) 629 1,017 1,427
Gross Dividend Yield relative to FTSE   Profit att. to ord shares 458 737 1,070
P/E ratio relative to FTSE   Earnings per share 16.00p 17.22p 18.27
Net Asset Value £11,927, 741 Dividends per share - 4.25 5
Net Asset value per share 181p
Net Borrowings/Cash £63,722
Gearing Ratio -
Gearing Ratio ex. Intangibles -

Comment

Dobbies now runs 10 garden centres, seven in Scotland and three in England. Despite the dreadful 1998 weather like for like sales rose by more than 8%. Average sales per unit were more than £1 million. Over the last five years, retail selling space has nearly doubled, and sales per square foot have continued to increase.

The general assumption is that gardening as a hobby is growing, in part due to demographic trends. But the company's big idea, following a retail trend of long standing is to develop, in areas which its expertise in identifying suitable catchment areas give the belief of a basis for success, is to trade up, establishing much larger centres capable of generating sales of £3 million or more. There are four of these at present, and two of these still have to punch their full weight in respect of reported results. Even so, for the six month period to April 1999, sales were 43% up, and this enabled the generation earnings per share of 5.8p, a 31% increase on the comparable period.

It is obvious that expansion, particularly on this scale, takes money, and after a successful March 1997 flotation Dobbies' next fund raising took place a year later, raising £5.3 million at 310p. But despite the company's doing all that it said it would, the shares took a discouraging dip, before rallying to the present price. Now with the latest money all spent, and borrowings at the interim stage of more than £4 million, the strategic problems of expansion loom again.

The vagaries of the weather apart, progressive returns from the still growing business, underpinned by what are becoming increasingly recognised as quality property assets, should give Dobbies a bit of elbow room.

INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATION

Buy.